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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Arleta Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051000702 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,534 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 41051000702 covers part of the Arleta area of Portland, OR, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,534. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Multnomah County average of 49.7%.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 30% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,141
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$92,719

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Arleta
Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#97 of 168 tracts In Portland
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#103 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Moderate
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#215 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4939, -122.5901 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arleta scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,834 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Arleta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arleta risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0007027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 410Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 3.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2004)
  • 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41051000702
Filings dropped 21% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 76Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arleta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arleta

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 410 filings here across 16 tracked years. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

At $1,834 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Portland commands. Filings peaked in 2004 at 5.6% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051000702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000702?

Census tract 41051000702 in the Arleta neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051000702?

Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000702?

9.2% of residents in tract 41051000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,534.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 19th, minority 53th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 41051000702 considered part of Arleta?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000702 fall within Arleta (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051000702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 410 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051000702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.53% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051000702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051000702 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051000702 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 41051000702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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