Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Arleta Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051000702 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,534 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
In the Arleta area of Portland, census tract 41051000702 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
26% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,834 monthly, set against $92,719 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,141
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$92,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4939, -122.5901 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arleta scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,834 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Arleta compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 75%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 410Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2004)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 76Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arleta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arleta
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051000702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000702?
Census tract 41051000702 in the Arleta neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051000702?
Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000702?
9.2% of residents in tract 41051000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,534.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 19th, minority 53th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 41051000702 considered part of Arleta?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000702 fall within Arleta (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051000702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 410 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051000702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.53% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051000702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051000702 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051000702 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051000702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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