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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Arleta Eviction Risk: High , Portland

Tract 41051000802 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,650 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

41051000802 is a census tract in the Arleta area of Portland, OR. It scores 8.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,650 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 21% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,192
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$85,204

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Arleta
Elevated
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 168 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4938, -122.6120 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arleta scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,521 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Arleta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arleta risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.3This tracttract 0008027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 930Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 5.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak (2005)
  • 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41051000802
Filings dropped 74% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 205Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.49×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arleta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arleta

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4. Court records carry 930 eviction filings across 16 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 10.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. At $1,521 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Portland commands.

In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #6,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051000802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000802?

Census tract 41051000802 in the Arleta neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051000802?

Median gross rent is $1,521/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000802?

16.7% of residents in tract 41051000802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,650.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 3th, minority 42th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 41051000802 considered part of Arleta?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000802 fall within Arleta (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051000802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 930 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051000802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.49% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051000802 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051000802 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051000802 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 41051000802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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