Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051001202 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,189 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
41051001202 is a census tract in the Colonial Heights area of Portland, OR. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,189 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,480
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$134,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5085, -122.6421 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Heights scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,738 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Colonial Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 40%Grade B
- 50%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 134Total filings over 16 yrs
- 1.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2001)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 86% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 73Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.87×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonial Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Heights
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 134 eviction filings across 16 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 3.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10. Against average income of $134,219, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051001202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051001202?
Census tract 41051001202 in the Colonial Heights neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051001202?
Median gross rent is $1,738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051001202?
6.6% of residents in tract 41051001202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,189.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051001202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 2th, minority 20th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 41051001202 considered part of Colonial Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051001202 fall within Colonial Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051001202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 134 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051001202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.54% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051001202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051001202 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051001202 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051001202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Portsmouth
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Jade District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Arleta
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Glenfair
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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