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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Saint Johns Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051004103 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,159 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

41051004103 is a census tract in the Saint Johns area of Portland, OR. It scores 6.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,159. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 49.7% across Multnomah County.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 8% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,579
Renter share26.6%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$90,760

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Saint Johns
Very Low
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#115 of 168 tracts In Portland
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#124 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Low
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#305 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.6006, -122.7402 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saint Johns scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,875 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Saint Johns compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saint Johns risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.9This tracttract 0041037.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 180Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Saint Johns. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saint Johns

33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,875, 13% above the Portland average.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $90,760.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051004103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051004103?

Census tract 41051004103 in the Saint Johns neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051004103?

Median gross rent is $1,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051004103?

4.7% of residents in tract 41051004103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,159.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051004103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 63th, minority 65th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 41051004103 considered part of Saint Johns?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051004103 fall within Saint Johns (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051004103 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051004103 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051004103 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051004103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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