Saint Johns Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051004103 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,159 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
41051004103 is a census tract in the Saint Johns area of Portland, OR. It scores 6.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,159. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 49.7% across Multnomah County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.6006, -122.7402 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Johns scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Saint Johns compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 180Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Saint Johns. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Saint Johns
33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,875, 13% above the Portland average.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $90,760.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 41051004103
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051004103?
What is the average rent in tract 41051004103?
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051004103?
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051004103?
Is tract 41051004103 considered part of Saint Johns?
Did eviction filings in tract 41051004103 drop during COVID?
How does tract 41051004103 compare to Portland overall?
Was tract 41051004103 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.