Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
South Waterfront Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051005902 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,874 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
The South Waterfront area of Portland anchors census tract 41051005902, which lands at 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #8,687 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,977 monthly, set against $120,631 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,446
Renter share68.2%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$120,631
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4956, -122.6698 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Waterfront scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,977 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How South Waterfront compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 257Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Waterfront
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 1% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.27x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051005902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051005902?
Census tract 41051005902 in the South Waterfront neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051005902?
Median gross rent is $1,977/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051005902?
11.1% of residents in tract 41051005902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,874.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051005902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 21th, minority 37th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 41051005902 considered part of South Waterfront?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051005902 fall within South Waterfront (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051005902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051005902 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051005902 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051005902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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