Vermont Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051006802 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,800 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
41051006802 is a census tract in the Vermont Hills area of Portland, OR. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,800. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4914, -122.7185 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vermont Hills scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Vermont Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 146Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2001)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 52Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vermont Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Vermont Hills
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Multnomah County average of 7.4. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 146 filings here across 16 tracked years.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2001 at 5.3% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $139,522, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 41051006802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051006802?
What is the average rent in tract 41051006802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051006802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051006802?
Is tract 41051006802 considered part of Vermont Hills?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051006802?
Did eviction filings in tract 41051006802 drop during COVID?
How does tract 41051006802 compare to Portland overall?
Was tract 41051006802 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.