Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Vermont Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051006802 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,800 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Here is how census tract 41051006802, in the Vermont Hills neighborhood of Portland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,800. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,780 a month while the average household earns $139,522 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$139,522
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4914, -122.7185 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vermont Hills scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Vermont Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 146Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2001)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 87% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 52Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vermont Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vermont Hills
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.87x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051006802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051006802?
Census tract 41051006802 in the Vermont Hills neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051006802?
Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051006802?
7.1% of residents in tract 41051006802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,800.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051006802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 63th, minority 30th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 41051006802 considered part of Vermont Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051006802 fall within Vermont Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051006802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 146 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051006802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.62% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051006802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051006802 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051006802 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051006802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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