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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Vermont Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051006802 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,800 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

41051006802 is a census tract in the Vermont Hills area of Portland, OR. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,800. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$139,522

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Vermont Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#165 of 168 tracts In Portland
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#181 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Very Low
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#439 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4914, -122.7185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vermont Hills scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Vermont Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vermont Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 0068027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 146Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2001)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41051006802
Filings dropped 87% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 52Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vermont Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vermont Hills

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Multnomah County average of 7.4. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 146 filings here across 16 tracked years.

54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2001 at 5.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $139,522, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051006802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051006802?

Census tract 41051006802 in the Vermont Hills neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051006802?

Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051006802?

7.1% of residents in tract 41051006802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,800.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051006802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 63th, minority 30th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 41051006802 considered part of Vermont Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051006802 fall within Vermont Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051006802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 146 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051006802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.62% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051006802 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051006802 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051006802 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 41051006802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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