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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Vermont Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland

Tract 41051006702 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,160 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 41051006702, home to 3,160 residents in the Vermont Hills neighborhood of Portland, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,589 monthly, set against $90,688 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 20% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$90,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Vermont Hills
Very High
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 168 tracts In Portland
Moderate
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Moderate
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#371 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4797, -122.7133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vermont Hills scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,589 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Vermont Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vermont Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 006702Portland: 8.18.1Portlandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 206Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2006)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410510067022000: 16 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2001: 8 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2002: 9 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 8 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2007: 16 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2008: 11 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2009: 14 filings (2.28/100 renter HHs)2010: 6 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (1.60/100 renter HHs)2014: 13 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 125Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.50×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vermont Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vermont Hills

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 206 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.9% of renter households in 2006.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051006702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051006702?

Census tract 41051006702 in the Vermont Hills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051006702?

Median gross rent is $1,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051006702?

8.4% of residents in tract 41051006702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,160.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051006702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 53th, minority 29th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 41051006702 considered part of Vermont Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051006702 fall within Vermont Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051006702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 206 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051006702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.08% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051006702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051006702 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051006702 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 41051006702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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