Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Vermont Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051006702 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,160 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 41051006702 sits in the Vermont Hills area of Portland eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Population here is 3,160. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$90,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4797, -122.7133 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vermont Hills scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,589 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Vermont Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 68%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 206Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2006)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 125Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vermont Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vermont Hills
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County. Court records carry 206 eviction filings across 16 observed years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2006 at 2.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely. Average gross rent is $1,589, close to the Portland average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051006702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051006702?
Census tract 41051006702 in the Vermont Hills neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051006702?
Median gross rent is $1,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051006702?
8.4% of residents in tract 41051006702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,160.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051006702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 53th, minority 29th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 41051006702 considered part of Vermont Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051006702 fall within Vermont Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051006702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 206 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051006702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.08% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051006702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051006702 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051006702 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051006702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Glenfair
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Arleta
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Portsmouth
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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