Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Howell Eviction Risk: Lower , Shiremanstown
Tract 42041011102 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 4,815 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 42041011102 runs through Howell in Shiremanstown. With 4,815 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 41st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,440 a month against an average household income of $74,247 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,282
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$74,247
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shiremanstown and the region
Centroid at 40.2142, -76.9599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howell scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shiremanstown
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,440 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shiremanstown
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shiremanstown
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shiremanstown
5.0
How Howell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 107Total filings over 3 yrs
- 5.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2004)
- 45Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Howell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howell
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shiremanstown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 107 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 5.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.0% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041011102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041011102?
Census tract 42041011102 in the Howell neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041011102?
Median gross rent is $1,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041011102?
10.9% of residents in tract 42041011102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,815.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041011102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 54th, minority 35th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 42041011102 considered part of Howell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42041011102 fall within Howell (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041011102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041011102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.57% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42041011102 compare to Shiremanstown overall?
Tract 42041011102 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Shiremanstown at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shiremanstown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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