Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Howell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shiremanstown
Tract 42041011102 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 4,815 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 42041011102 sits in the Howell area of Cumberland County, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 4,815 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.6/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,282
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$74,247
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shiremanstown and the region
Centroid at 40.2142, -76.9599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howell scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shiremanstown
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,440 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shiremanstown
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shiremanstown
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shiremanstown
5.0
How Howell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 107Total filings over 3 yrs
- 5.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2004)
- 45Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Howell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howell
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 107 evictions over 3 years of observation.
It sits 0.6 points above the Cumberland County average of 4.1. Filings peaked in 2004 at 7.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10. 35% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent runs $1,440 a month. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $74,247. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041011102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041011102?
Census tract 42041011102 in the Howell neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041011102?
Median gross rent is $1,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041011102?
10.9% of residents in tract 42041011102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,815.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041011102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 54th, minority 35th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 42041011102 considered part of Howell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42041011102 fall within Howell (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041011102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041011102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.57% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42041011102 compare to Shiremanstown overall?
Tract 42041011102 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Shiremanstown at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shiremanstown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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