Skip to content
Neighborhood · Shiremanstown, PA

Howell Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 13,562 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.3–4.9

Howell spans 3 census tracts of Shiremanstown, PA and houses 13,562 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $1,422, 33% above the Shiremanstown average of $1,067.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.3 to 4.9. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Cost burden runs 33% against 26.6% citywide, putting Howell 6.4% over its own city. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 245 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 8.8% of renter households. Judgments average 2.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Howell vs Shiremanstown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.0% +24%
Shiremanstown: 26.6%
Average gross rent
$1,422 +33%
Shiremanstown: $1,067
Average HH income
$90,623 +30%
Shiremanstown: $69,505
Poverty rate
7.9% -18%
Shiremanstown: 9.6%
Renter share
36.3% +6%
Shiremanstown: 34.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Howell and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.3–4.9

Why Howell scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–5.9 across tracts
3.7
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 3.4–5.3 across tracts
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.6–5.0 across tracts
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 4.0–7.0 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.2 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 1.3–2.7 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–6.1 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Howell vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Howell score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0HowellNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Howell?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 3.3 to 4.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Howell

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42041011200 4.9 1,751 42% $992
42041011102 4.7 4,815 35% $1,440
42041011305 3.3 6,996 29% $1,517
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Howell

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 245Total filings (sum)
  • 6.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak year (2004)
  • 6.50%Latest filed (2004)
Frequently asked

About Howell

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Howell?

Howell scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Howell compare to Shiremanstown overall?

Howell scores 0.3 points lower than Shiremanstown overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,422 vs $1,067.
Q3

What is the average rent in Howell?

Average gross rent in Howell is $1,422/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Howell residents are renters?

36% of Howell households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Shiremanstown). The neighborhood has 13,562 residents.
Q5

Is Howell a high social-vulnerability area?

Howell sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Howell have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Howell is census tract 42041011200 (score 4.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 4.9, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Howell for landlords?

Howell carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Shiremanstown as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Howell?

Howell has 13,587 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.8%), Hispanic / Latino (8.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Howell

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further