Neighborhood · Shiremanstown, PA

Howell Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 13,562 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 2.6–3.6

Howell is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Shiremanstown with 3 census tracts and a population of 13,562 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 33% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,422/month sits 33% higher than the Shiremanstown citywide average ($1,067).

Risk score

3.1

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Howell vs Shiremanstown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.0% +24%

Shiremanstown: 26.6%

Average gross rent

$1,422 +33%

Shiremanstown: $1,067

Average HH income

$90,623 +30%

Shiremanstown: $69,505

Poverty rate

7.9% -18%

Shiremanstown: 9.6%

Renter share

36.3% +6%

Shiremanstown: 34.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Howell and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.6–3.6

Why Howell scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.4–5.9 across tracts

3.7

Rent control risk

33% of income on rent · Range 3.4–5.3 across tracts

3.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.6–5.0 across tracts

4.8

Tenant organizing strength

36% renter households · Range 4.0–7.0 across tracts

4.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.2 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

7.9% below poverty line · Range 1.3–2.7 across tracts

1.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–6.1 across tracts

5.4

Risk score comparison

Howell vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Howell?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 2.6 to 3.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

3.6 3.4 2.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Howell

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42041011102	3.6	4,815	35%	$1,440
42041011200	3.4	1,751	42%	$992
42041011305	2.6	6,996	29%	$1,517

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 40%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 66%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Howell

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

245Total filings (sum)
6.19%Avg annual filing rate
8.8%Peak year (2004)
6.50%Latest filed (2004)

Frequently asked

About Howell

What is the eviction-risk score for Howell?

Howell scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Howell compare to Shiremanstown overall?

Howell scores 1.2 points lower than Shiremanstown overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,422 vs $1,067.

What is the average rent in Howell?

Average gross rent in Howell is $1,422/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Howell residents are renters?

36% of Howell households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Shiremanstown). The neighborhood has 13,562 residents.

Is Howell a high social-vulnerability area?

Howell sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Howell have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Howell is census tract 42041011102 (score 3.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.6 to 3.6, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Howell for landlords?

Howell carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Shiremanstown as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Howell?

Howell has 13,587 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.8%), Hispanic / Latino (8.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Howell

2.4 Pine Brook 2 tracts · pop 10,159 2.6 Cedar Cliff 2 tracts · pop 5,802 2.6 West Creek Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,775 2.9 Drexel Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,515

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