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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Bellevue Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Harrisburg

Tract 42043022200 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,255 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Bellevue Park area of Harrisburg anchors census tract 42043022200, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $946 monthly, set against $68,295 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 16% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,273
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$68,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Bellevue Park
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Harrisburg
Moderate
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#2,084 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2780, -76.8483 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellevue Park scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$946 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.4

How Bellevue Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellevue Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 022200Harrisburg: 4.34.3Harrisburgparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 530Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 16.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.8%Peak (2001)
  • 94Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430222002000: 68 filings (12.26/100 renter HHs)2001: 104 filings (18.76/100 renter HHs)2002: 97 filings (17.49/100 renter HHs)2003: 77 filings (13.89/100 renter HHs)2005: 90 filings (18.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 94 filings (19.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bellevue Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellevue Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Part of this tract, about 2% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043022200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043022200?

Census tract 42043022200 in the Bellevue Park neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043022200?

Median gross rent is $946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043022200?

7.3% of residents in tract 42043022200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,255.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043022200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 46th, minority 71th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 42043022200 considered part of Bellevue Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043022200 fall within Bellevue Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043022200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 530 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043022200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.79% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043022200 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043022200 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043022200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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