Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Bellevue Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg
Tract 42043021600 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,183 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 42043021600 covers part of the Bellevue Park area of Harrisburg, PA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,183. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,088
Renter share80.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate39.3%
Median income$24,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region
Centroid at 40.2725, -76.8606 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellevue Park scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
39.3% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,126 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1
How Bellevue Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 67%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,044Total filings over 6 yrs
- 28.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.0%Peak (2002)
- 165Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bellevue Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellevue Park
Cost burden runs 64% here against 39.0% across Dauphin County. Set annual rent against average income of $24,938 and the ratio lands at 54%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.8/10. Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10.
This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,044 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 34.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 28.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021600?
Census tract 42043021600 in the Bellevue Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021600?
Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021600?
39.3% of residents in tract 42043021600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,183.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 99th, minority 93th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021600 considered part of Bellevue Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021600 fall within Bellevue Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,044 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.57% of renter households, peaking at 34.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043021600 compare to Harrisburg overall?
Tract 42043021600 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043021600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Summit Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mount Pleasant
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hoverter Homes
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Camp Curtin
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
New Fox Ridge
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Riverside
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Academy Manor
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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