Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Bellevue Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg
Tract 42043021500 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 4,022 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 42043021500 in the Bellevue Park area of Harrisburg, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,575
Renter share58.5%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$34,891
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region
Centroid at 40.2616, -76.8573 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellevue Park scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1
How Bellevue Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 5%Grade A
- 78%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 14%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 683Total filings over 6 yrs
- 19.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.6%Peak (2002)
- 106Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bellevue Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellevue Park
Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Average gross rent is $895, 16% below the Harrisburg average. Cost burden runs 34% here against 39.0% across Dauphin County.
Court records carry 683 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 23.6% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 19.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021500?
Census tract 42043021500 in the Bellevue Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021500?
Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021500?
25.6% of residents in tract 42043021500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,022.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 91th, minority 91th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021500 considered part of Bellevue Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021500 fall within Bellevue Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 683 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.35% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043021500 compare to Harrisburg overall?
Tract 42043021500 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043021500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
New Fox Ridge
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Riverside
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Summit Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mount Pleasant
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hoverter Homes
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Camp Curtin
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Academy Manor
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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