Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Bellevue Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg
Tract 42043021500 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 4,022 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 42043021500 belongs to the Bellevue Park neighborhood of Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. It is home to 4,022 residents and scores 6.3/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #15,169 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $895 a month against an average household income of $34,891 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,575
Renter share58.5%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$34,891
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region
Centroid at 40.2616, -76.8573 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellevue Park scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1
How Bellevue Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 5%Grade A
- 78%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 14%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 683Total filings over 6 yrs
- 19.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.6%Peak (2002)
- 106Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bellevue Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellevue Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 14% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 683 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 19.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.6% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021500?
Census tract 42043021500 in the Bellevue Park neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021500?
Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021500?
25.6% of residents in tract 42043021500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,022.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 91th, minority 91th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021500 considered part of Bellevue Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021500 fall within Bellevue Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 683 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.35% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043021500 compare to Harrisburg overall?
Tract 42043021500 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043021500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Hoverter Homes
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Riverside
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mount Pleasant
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Camp Curtin
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
New Fox Ridge
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Summit Terrace
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Academy Manor
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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