Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Bellevue Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisburg
Tract 42043021700 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 6,330 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Bellevue Park area of Harrisburg, census tract 42043021700 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $990 a month against an average household income of $65,500 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,648
Renter share41.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$65,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region
Centroid at 40.2654, -76.8473 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellevue Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$990 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1
How Bellevue Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 22%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 853Total filings over 6 yrs
- 16.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.5%Peak (2003)
- 126Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bellevue Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellevue Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021700?
Census tract 42043021700 in the Bellevue Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021700?
Median gross rent is $990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021700?
14.9% of residents in tract 42043021700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,330.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 81th, minority 78th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021700 considered part of Bellevue Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021700 fall within Bellevue Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 853 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.29% of renter households, peaking at 20.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043021700 compare to Harrisburg overall?
Tract 42043021700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043021700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Hoverter Homes
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Riverside
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mount Pleasant
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Camp Curtin
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
New Fox Ridge
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Summit Terrace
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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