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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Bellevue Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg

Tract 42043021700 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 6,330 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

42043021700 is a census tract in the Bellevue Park area of Harrisburg, PA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 21% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,648
Renter share41.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$65,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Bellevue Park
Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
Very Low
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2654, -76.8473 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellevue Park scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$990 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How Bellevue Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellevue Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0217005.9Harrisburgparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 853Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 16.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.5%Peak (2003)
  • 126Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42043021700
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bellevue Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellevue Park

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Dauphin County average of 39.0%. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 853 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2003 at 20.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 16.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $990, close to the Harrisburg average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043021700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021700?

Census tract 42043021700 in the Bellevue Park neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043021700?

Median gross rent is $990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021700?

14.9% of residents in tract 42043021700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,330.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 81th, minority 78th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 42043021700 considered part of Bellevue Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021700 fall within Bellevue Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 853 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.29% of renter households, peaking at 20.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043021700 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043021700 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043021700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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