Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Millbourne
Tract 42045400301 · Delaware County, PA · pop 7,072 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 42045400301 in the Cobbs Creek area of Delaware County, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,072 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,851
Renter share63.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$46,340
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Millbourne and the region
Centroid at 39.9516, -75.2580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,089 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millbourne
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millbourne
5.0
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,224Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.4%Peak (2006)
- 292Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 163% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.3 points above the Delaware County average of 4.7.
The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 1,224 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 25.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 15.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42045400301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045400301?
Census tract 42045400301 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42045400301?
Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42045400301?
18.4% of residents in tract 42045400301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,072.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42045400301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 80th, minority 85th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 42045400301 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42045400301 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045400301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,224 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045400301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.65% of renter households, peaking at 25.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42045400301 compare to Millbourne overall?
Tract 42045400301 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Millbourne at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millbourne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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