Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Millbourne
Tract 42045400301 · Delaware County, PA · pop 7,072 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.8/10 for census tract 42045400301 reflects conditions in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood of Millbourne, Pennsylvania. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,089 a month against an average household income of $46,340 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,851
Renter share63.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$46,340
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Millbourne and the region
Centroid at 39.9516, -75.2580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,089 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millbourne
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millbourne
5.0
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,224Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.4%Peak (2006)
- 292Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 163% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millbourne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Delaware County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,224 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 15.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.4% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42045400301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045400301?
Census tract 42045400301 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42045400301?
Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42045400301?
18.4% of residents in tract 42045400301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,072.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42045400301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 80th, minority 85th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 42045400301 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42045400301 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045400301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,224 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045400301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.65% of renter households, peaking at 25.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42045400301 compare to Millbourne overall?
Tract 42045400301 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Millbourne at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millbourne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related