Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Millbourne
Tract 42045400401 · Delaware County, PA · pop 6,599 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42045400401 (Cobbs Creek in Millbourne, Pennsylvania) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,226 a month while the average household earns $50,821 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,221
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$50,821
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Millbourne and the region
Centroid at 39.9564, -75.2620 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,226 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millbourne
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millbourne
5.0
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 744Total filings over 7 yrs
- 13.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2005)
- 96Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millbourne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Delaware County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and Asian and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 744 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 13.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.7% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42045400401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045400401?
Census tract 42045400401 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42045400401?
Median gross rent is $1,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42045400401?
28.6% of residents in tract 42045400401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,599.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42045400401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 89th, minority 90th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 42045400401 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42045400401 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045400401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 744 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045400401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.62% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42045400401 compare to Millbourne overall?
Tract 42045400401 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Millbourne at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millbourne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related