Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Millbourne
Tract 42045400401 · Delaware County, PA · pop 6,599 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 42045400401 covers part of the Cobbs Creek area of Delaware County, PA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,221
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$50,821
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Millbourne and the region
Centroid at 39.9564, -75.2620 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobbs Creek scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,226 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millbourne
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millbourne
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millbourne
5.0
How Cobbs Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 744Total filings over 7 yrs
- 13.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2005)
- 96Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobbs Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobbs Creek
Against Delaware County at 50.9%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.8/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.3 points above the Delaware County average of 4.7. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 744 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 17.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 13.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42045400401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045400401?
Census tract 42045400401 in the Cobbs Creek neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42045400401?
Median gross rent is $1,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42045400401?
28.6% of residents in tract 42045400401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,599.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42045400401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 89th, minority 90th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 42045400401 considered part of Cobbs Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42045400401 fall within Cobbs Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045400401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 744 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045400401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.62% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42045400401 compare to Millbourne overall?
Tract 42045400401 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Millbourne at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millbourne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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