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Neighborhood · Millbourne, PA

Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 18,447 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 6–7.3

Cobbs Creek is a 3-tract neighborhood of Millbourne, PA, population 18,447. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Millbourne rate of 26.8%.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 6 to 7.3. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 2,268 across 3 observed tracts. At $1,153 a month, rents sit 13% over what the rest of Millbourne commands.

Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 25.4% of renter households. Judgments average 6.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $51,354. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Cobbs Creek vs Millbourne How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.1% +102%
Millbourne: 26.8%
Average gross rent
$1,153 +13%
Millbourne: $1,016
Average HH income
$51,354 +18%
Millbourne: $43,625
Poverty rate
21.8% -25%
Millbourne: 29.1%
Renter share
57.2% -13%
Millbourne: 65.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cobbs Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6–7.3

Why Cobbs Creek scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–8.4 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 3.4–5.5 across tracts
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.7–5.0 across tracts
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 4.0–9.8 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.3 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
21.8% below poverty line · Range 4.3–7.2 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Cobbs Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cobbs Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.3Cobbs CreekNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cobbs Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 6 to 7.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Cobbs Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42045410500 7.3 4,776 51% $1,146
42045400301 6 7,072 47% $1,089
42045400401 6 6,599 64% $1,226
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cobbs Creek

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,268Total filings (sum)
  • 12.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.4%Peak year (2006)
  • 16.43%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Cobbs Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cobbs Creek?

Cobbs Creek scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cobbs Creek compare to Millbourne overall?

Cobbs Creek scores 0.4 points higher than Millbourne overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,153 vs $1,016.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cobbs Creek?

Average gross rent in Cobbs Creek is $1,153/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cobbs Creek residents are renters?

57% of Cobbs Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 66% in Millbourne). The neighborhood has 18,447 residents.
Q5

Is Cobbs Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Cobbs Creek sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cobbs Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cobbs Creek is census tract 42045410500 (score 7.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 7.3, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Cobbs Creek for landlords?

Cobbs Creek carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Millbourne as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cobbs Creek?

Cobbs Creek has 17,781 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (25%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cobbs Creek

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