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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

1st Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Allentown

Tract 42077000500 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 2,521 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 42077000500 covers 1st Ward in Allentown in Pennsylvania. Home to 2,521 residents, it scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,189 monthly, set against $45,788 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 34% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units801
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$45,788

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In 1st Ward
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Moderate
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#480 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.6055, -75.4588 · click any tract to drill in

Why 1st Ward scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How 1st Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
1st Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 000500Allentown: 5.05.0Allentownparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 278Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 11.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak (2005)
  • 44Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420770005002000: 33 filings (9.40/100 renter HHs)2001: 26 filings (7.41/100 renter HHs)2002: 41 filings (11.68/100 renter HHs)2003: 42 filings (11.97/100 renter HHs)2004: 42 filings (11.97/100 renter HHs)2005: 50 filings (16.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 44 filings (14.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in 1st Ward

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Allentown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 11.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.2% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077000500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077000500?

Census tract 42077000500 in the 1st Ward neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077000500?

Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077000500?

17.1% of residents in tract 42077000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,521.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 95th, minority 90th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 42077000500 considered part of 1st Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077000500 fall within 1st Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077000500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.85% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077000500 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077000500 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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