Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Union Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown
Tract 42077002100 ·
Lehigh County, PA · pop 7,303 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 42077002100 in the Union Terrace area of Allentown, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,303 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%Stable renters 33%Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,630
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate28.8%
Median income$41,023
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Union Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
52th percentile
#14 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Moderate
Within county
89th percentile
#10 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
High
Within state
87th percentile
#436 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Allentown and the region
Centroid at 40.5935, -75.4899 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union Terrace scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.8% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
How Union Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
85%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
825Total filings over 7 yrs
7.20%Avg annual filing rate
8.6%Peak (2005)
123Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2006
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union Terrace
Against the Lehigh County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $41,023, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
At $1,097 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Allentown commands. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 825 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 8.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077002100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077002100?
Census tract 42077002100 in the Union Terrace neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077002100?
Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077002100?
28.8% of residents in tract 42077002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,303.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077002100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 93th, minority 80th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 42077002100 considered part of Union Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077002100 fall within Union Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077002100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 825 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.20% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077002100 compare to Allentown overall?
Tract 42077002100 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Allentown
Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.