Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown
Tract 42077009700 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 3,767 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 42077009700 sits in the Downtown area of Allentown eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. Population here is 3,767. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $35,726, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units2,219
Renter share90.5%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate27.7%
Median income$35,726
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Allentown and the region
Centroid at 40.5996, -75.4741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
27.7% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,357 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,206Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.1%Peak (2005)
- 179Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Against Lehigh County at 45.1%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.9 points above the Lehigh County average of 4.7. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, economic stress reads 6.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,206 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 19.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 15.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077009700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077009700?
Census tract 42077009700 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077009700?
Median gross rent is $1,357/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077009700?
27.7% of residents in tract 42077009700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,767.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077009700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 78th, minority 83th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 42077009700 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077009700 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077009700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,206 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077009700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.47% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077009700 compare to Allentown overall?
Tract 42077009700 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Allentown
Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Midway Manor
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End Theatre District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
6th Ward
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Franklin Park
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
1st Ward
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Union Terrace
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North of Tilghman
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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