Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Carroll Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101010100 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 6,303 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
42101010100 is a census tract in the Carroll Park area of Philadelphia, PA. It scores 7/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,303 residents. Cost burden runs around a third here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,629
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$46,492
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9721, -75.2425 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carroll Park scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$963 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Carroll Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 31%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 23%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 311Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.0%Peak (2016)
- 90Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 48% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 266Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carroll Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carroll Park
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. At $963 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 311 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 12.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101010100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101010100?
Census tract 42101010100 in the Carroll Park neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101010100?
Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101010100?
19.0% of residents in tract 42101010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,303.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101010100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 80th, minority 98th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 42101010100 considered part of Carroll Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101010100 fall within Carroll Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101010100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 311 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101010100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.36% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101010100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101010100 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101010100 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101010100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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