Eviction Risk in Carroll Park , Philadelphia
Tract 42101010100 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 6,303 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42101010100 sits in the Carroll Park neighborhood of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. It has a population of 6,303 and an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). 31% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 18% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $963/month against a median household income of $46,492 — roughly 25% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 6,248 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- White (non-Hispanic) 2.3%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 94.5%
- Other / Multiracial 3.3%
How the 6.3/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.2 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.4 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.2 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 8.0 | Philadelphia (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 6.0 | Philadelphia (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 7.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.5 | Philadelphia (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.5 | Philadelphia (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 4.8 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.0 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 311Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.0%Peak (2016)
- 90Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 266Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carroll Park. Closest by composite score.
Dominant grade: C — definitely declining
Approximately 100% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Philadelphia. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 30.7%B (Desirable)
- 45.9%C (Declining)
- 23.4%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 42101010100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101010100?
Census tract 42101010100 in the Carroll Park neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 42101010100?
Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101010100?
19.0% of residents in tract 42101010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,303.
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101010100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 80th, minority 98th, housing 67th.
Is tract 42101010100 considered part of Carroll Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101010100 fall within Carroll Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101010100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 311 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101010100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.36% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Did eviction filings in tract 42101010100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply — likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Was tract 42101010100 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is C (Definitely Declining). Roughly 23% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Philadelphia. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.