Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally
Carroll Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101011200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 5,307 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 42101011200 covers the Carroll Park neighborhood of Philadelphia in Pennsylvania. Home to 5,307 residents, it scores 7.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
81% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,351 a month against an average household income of $28,958 a year, roughly 56% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,229
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate43.0%
Median income$28,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9736, -75.2337 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carroll Park scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
43.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Carroll Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 52%Grade C
- 48%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 334Total filings over 4 yrs
- 12.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.0%Peak (2012)
- 73Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 384Total filings 2020-21
- 5.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carroll Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carroll Park
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.63x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101011200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101011200?
Census tract 42101011200 in the Carroll Park neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101011200?
Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101011200?
43.0% of residents in tract 42101011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,307.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101011200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 74th, minority 99th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 42101011200 considered part of Carroll Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101011200 fall within Carroll Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101011200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 334 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.32% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101011200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101011200 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101011200 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101011200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Somerville
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Juniata
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hartranft
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Kensington
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Kensington
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Central
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hartranft
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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