Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Briar Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Five Forks
Tract 45045002821 · Greenville County, SC · pop 5,771 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
45045002821 is a census tract in the Briar Oaks area of Five Forks, SC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,049
Renter share19.4%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$102,718
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Five Forks and the region
Centroid at 34.7869, -82.1724 · click any tract to drill in
Why Briar Oaks scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Five Forks
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,173 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Five Forks
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Five Forks
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Five Forks
5.8
How Briar Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 169Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Greenville, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Briar Oaks
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 66.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. Cost burden runs 52% here against 45.8% across Greenville County. Against the Greenville County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,173, close to the Five Forks average.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $102,718.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 45045002821
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45045002821?
Census tract 45045002821 in the Briar Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45045002821?
Median gross rent is $2,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45045002821?
8.8% of residents in tract 45045002821 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,771.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45045002821?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 36th, minority 56th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 45045002821 considered part of Briar Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45045002821 fall within Briar Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 45045002821 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Greenville eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45045002821 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45045002821 compare to Five Forks overall?
Tract 45045002821 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Five Forks at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Five Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Five Forks
Top eight tracts in Five Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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