Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Rolling Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Southern Shops
Tract 45083021804 · Spartanburg County, SC · pop 2,035 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
How risky is the Rolling Green neighborhood of Southern Shops for landlords? Census tract 45083021804 scores 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $955 a month against an average household income of $36,656 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units880
Renter share49.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$36,656
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Southern Shops and the region
Centroid at 34.9979, -82.0170 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rolling Green scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Southern Shops
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$955 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Southern Shops
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Southern Shops
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Southern Shops
8.4
How Rolling Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 54Total filings over 1 yrs
- 18.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.2%Peak (2010)
- 54Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.9%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.6%Food insecurity
- 27.5%SNAP enrollment
- 17.2%Transit barriers
- 24.9%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rolling Green
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Southern Shops, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Spartanburg County average of 5.5 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 26.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 54 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 18.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.2% of renter households in 2010.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45083021804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45083021804?
Census tract 45083021804 in the Rolling Green neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45083021804?
Median gross rent is $955/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45083021804?
9.4% of residents in tract 45083021804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,035.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45083021804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 66th, minority 69th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 45083021804 considered part of Rolling Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45083021804 fall within Rolling Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45083021804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 45083021804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.18% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45083021804 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45083021804 compare to Southern Shops overall?
Tract 45083021804 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Southern Shops at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Southern Shops; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Southern Shops
Top eight tracts in Southern Shops ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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