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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Mudtavern Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville

Tract 47037015804 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,953 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 47037015804 sits in the Mudtavern area of Nashville eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 4,953. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 40% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,193
Renter share75.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$48,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mudtavern
Moderate
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#17 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1347, -86.7024 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mudtavern scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,230 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Mudtavern compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mudtavern risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0158043.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 720Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mudtavern

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. At $1,230 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Nashville commands.

Against the Davidson County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.4% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037015804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037015804?

Census tract 47037015804 in the Mudtavern neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037015804?

Median gross rent is $1,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037015804?

19.3% of residents in tract 47037015804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,953.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037015804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 86th, minority 80th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 47037015804 considered part of Mudtavern?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037015804 fall within Mudtavern (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037015804 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037015804 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037015804 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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