Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Mudtavern Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville
Tract 47037015804 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,953 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
In the Mudtavern area of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), census tract 47037015804 scores 4.7/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #60,796 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,230 a month against an average household income of $48,906 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,193
Renter share75.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$48,906
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1347, -86.7024 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mudtavern scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,230 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How Mudtavern compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 720Total filings 2020-21
- 9.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mudtavern
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.57x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037015804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037015804?
Census tract 47037015804 in the Mudtavern neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037015804?
Median gross rent is $1,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037015804?
19.3% of residents in tract 47037015804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,953.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037015804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 86th, minority 80th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 47037015804 considered part of Mudtavern?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037015804 fall within Mudtavern (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037015804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037015804 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037015804 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
Downtown Nashville
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037010403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037015900
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Germantown Nashville, TN
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012801
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Madison
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012701
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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