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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Johnstown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Smyrna

Tract 47149040312 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 2,549 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

47149040312 is a census tract in the Johnstown area of Smyrna, TN. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,549. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Rutherford County average of 47.9%.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 57% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,245
Renter share82.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$67,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Johnstown
Very High
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 15 tracts In Smyrna
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 64 tracts In Rutherford County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#264 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 35.9868, -86.5564 · click any tract to drill in

Why Johnstown scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Smyrna
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,647 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smyrna
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smyrna
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smyrna
5.9

How Johnstown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Johnstown risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0403124.1Smyrnaparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Johnstown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Johnstown

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Rutherford County average of 3.9.

At $1,647 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Smyrna commands. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $67,182.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040312

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040312?

Census tract 47149040312 in the Johnstown neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47149040312?

Median gross rent is $1,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040312?

12.5% of residents in tract 47149040312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,549.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 40th, minority 73th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 47149040312 considered part of Johnstown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47149040312 fall within Johnstown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 47149040312 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040312 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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