Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Smyrna Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47149040404 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 3,032 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Smyrna

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 47149040404 in Smyrna, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,133

Renter share28.9%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate17.1%

Median income$86,523

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 35.9854, -86.4778 · click any tract to drill in

Why Smyrna scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Smyrna

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

17.1% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,301 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Smyrna

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Smyrna

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Smyrna

5.9

How Smyrna compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Smyrna

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the Rutherford County average of 3.9. Average gross rent is $1,301, 11% below the Smyrna average.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $86,523. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040404

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040404?

Census tract 47149040404 in Smyrna scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47149040404?

Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040404?

17.1% of residents in tract 47149040404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,032.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 27th, minority 62th, housing 42th.

How does tract 47149040404 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040404 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.