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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Smyrna Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47149040405 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 4,404 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Smyrna

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 47149040405 in Smyrna, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 36% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,593
Renter share71.7%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$65,729

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 tracts In Smyrna
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 64 tracts In Rutherford County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 36.0184, -86.4796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Smyrna scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Smyrna
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,442 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smyrna
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smyrna
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smyrna
5.9

How Smyrna compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Smyrna risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0404054.1Smyrnaparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Smyrna

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.5 points above the Rutherford County average of 3.9. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.8% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,442, close to the Smyrna average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $65,729.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040405?

Census tract 47149040405 in Smyrna scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47149040405?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040405?

16.3% of residents in tract 47149040405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,404.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 31th, minority 58th, housing 37th.
Q5

How does tract 47149040405 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040405 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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