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Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Smyrna Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47149040405 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 4,404 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Smyrna

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 47149040405 in Smyrna ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,404 residents. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,442 monthly, set against $65,729 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 36% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,593
Renter share71.7%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$65,729

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 tracts In Smyrna
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 64 tracts In Rutherford County
High
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#998 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Moderate
National
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#46,312 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 36.0184, -86.4796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Smyrna scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Smyrna
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,442 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smyrna
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smyrna
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smyrna
5.9

How Smyrna compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Smyrna risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 040405Smyrna: 2.42.4Smyrnaparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Smyrna

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Rutherford County average of 4.3 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040405?

Census tract 47149040405 in Smyrna scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47149040405?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040405?

16.3% of residents in tract 47149040405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,404.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 31th, minority 58th, housing 37th.
Q5

How does tract 47149040405 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040405 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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