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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Beale Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157004500 · Shelby County, TN · pop 894 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 47157004500 (the Beale Street Historic District area of Memphis, Tennessee) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 52% of US census tracts.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $403 a month while the average household earns $22,344 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 86% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 47% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units348
Renter share86.5%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate57.6%
Median income$22,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Beale Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#74 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#237 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1286, -90.0394 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beale Street Historic District scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
57.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$403 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Beale Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beale Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 004500Memphis: 3.13.1Memphisparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 216Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.10×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 13 filings (3.25× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-11-01: 21 filings (8.40× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-09-01: 9 filings (2.57× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-02-01: 13 filings (5.20× baseline)2024-03-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-09-01: 12 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 10 filings (2.86× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beale Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beale Street Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157004500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157004500?

Census tract 47157004500 in the Beale Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157004500?

Median gross rent is $403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157004500?

57.6% of residents in tract 47157004500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 894.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157004500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 91th, minority 95th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 47157004500 considered part of Beale Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157004500 fall within Beale Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157004500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157004500 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157004500 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157004500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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