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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Beale Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157011402 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,542 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 47157011402 sits in the Beale Street Historic District area of Memphis eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.8/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 41% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share95.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate39.2%
Median income$33,538

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Beale Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1365, -90.0492 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beale Street Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
39.2% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,056 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Beale Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beale Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0114024.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,003Total filings 2020-21
  • 13.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beale Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beale Street Historic District

96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Set annual rent against average income of $33,538 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against Shelby County at 48.3%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.5% against 11.3% nationally.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3.

At $1,056 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Memphis commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157011402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157011402?

Census tract 47157011402 in the Beale Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157011402?

Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157011402?

39.2% of residents in tract 47157011402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,542.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157011402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 27th, minority 84th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 47157011402 considered part of Beale Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157011402 fall within Beale Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 47157011402 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157011402 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 47157011402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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