Berclair Eviction Risk: Lower , Memphis

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Shelby County average of 48.3%. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The voucher gap is 22.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.