Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Berclair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis
Tract 47157008700 · Shelby County, TN · pop 5,292 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up Berclair in Memphis, census tract 47157008700 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #34,126 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,114 a month while the average household earns $43,405 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,035
Renter share50.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate37.0%
Median income$43,405
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.1554, -89.9168 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berclair scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
37.0% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$1,114 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Berclair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 400Total filings 2020-21
- 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Berclair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berclair
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.66x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157008700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157008700?
Census tract 47157008700 in the Berclair neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157008700?
Median gross rent is $1,114/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157008700?
37.0% of residents in tract 47157008700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157008700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 88th, minority 68th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 47157008700 considered part of Berclair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157008700 fall within Berclair (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157008700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157008700 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157008700 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47157008700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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47157022700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157010500
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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