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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Berclair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157008700 · Shelby County, TN · pop 5,292 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 47157008700 covers part of the Berclair area of Memphis, TN, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,292. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 20% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,035
Renter share50.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate37.0%
Median income$43,405

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Berclair
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 197 tracts In Memphis
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1554, -89.9168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Berclair scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
37.0% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$1,114 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Berclair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Berclair risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0087004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 400Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Berclair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Berclair

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Cost burden runs 61% here against 48.3% across Shelby County. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Disability prevalence runs 43.5% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.0% against 11.3% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,114, close to the Memphis average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $43,405.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157008700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157008700?

Census tract 47157008700 in the Berclair neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157008700?

Median gross rent is $1,114/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157008700?

37.0% of residents in tract 47157008700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,292.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157008700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 88th, minority 68th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 47157008700 considered part of Berclair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157008700 fall within Berclair (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157008700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157008700 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157008700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157008700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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