Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Hickory Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis
Tract 47157021731 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,013 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
47157021731 is a census tract in the Hickory Hill area of Memphis, TN. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,013 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units933
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$45,022
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.0427, -89.8761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hickory Hill scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,192 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Hickory Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 431Total filings 2020-21
- 5.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hickory Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hickory Hill
Cost burden runs 63% here against 48.3% across Shelby County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Disability prevalence runs 48.2% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.6% against 11.3% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,192, close to the Memphis average.
Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $45,022.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157021731
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157021731?
Census tract 47157021731 in the Hickory Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157021731?
Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157021731?
36.0% of residents in tract 47157021731 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,013.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157021731?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 82th, minority 99th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 47157021731 considered part of Hickory Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157021731 fall within Hickory Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157021731 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157021731 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157021731 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
North Memphis
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47157009902
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Beale Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Hickory Hill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Crosstown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Medical District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Hickory Hill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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