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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

Tract 48029181302 · Bexar, TX · pop 5,892 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 48029181302 covers the Elm Creek area of San Antonio, home to 5,892 residents. For landlords it grades 5.1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 41% of US census tracts.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,219 a month while the average household earns $54,436 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 36% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,889
Renter share71.0%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$54,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Elm Creek
Very High
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Elevated
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#2,476 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5423, -98.5638 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Creek scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Elm Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elm Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 181302San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 260Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 1.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2008)
  • 57Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291813022000: 29 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2001: 14 filings (0.68/100 renter HHs)2002: 24 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (1.26/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 23 filings (1.03/100 renter HHs)2006: 21 filings (0.94/100 renter HHs)2007: 54 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 57 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 97% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Creek

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bexar County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 260 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 1.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2008.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029181302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181302?

Census tract 48029181302 in the Elm Creek neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029181302?

Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181302?

11.7% of residents in tract 48029181302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,892.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 7th, minority 77th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 48029181302 considered part of Elm Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181302 fall within Elm Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 260 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.34% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029181302 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029181302 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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