Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Elm Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio
Tract 48029181302 · Bexar, TX · pop 5,892 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 48029181302 in the Elm Creek area of San Antonio, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,892 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,889
Renter share71.0%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$54,436
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Antonio and the region
Centroid at 29.5423, -98.5638 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elm Creek scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0
How Elm Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 260Total filings over 9 yrs
- 1.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2008)
- 57Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 97% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elm Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elm Creek
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 260 filings here across 9 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2008 at 2.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters.
It tracks the Bexar County average of 4.1 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48029181302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181302?
Census tract 48029181302 in the Elm Creek neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48029181302?
Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181302?
11.7% of residents in tract 48029181302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,892.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 7th, minority 77th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 48029181302 considered part of Elm Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181302 fall within Elm Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 260 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.34% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48029181302 compare to San Antonio overall?
Tract 48029181302 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio
Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Columbia Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029140300
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Prospect Hill
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Charter Oaks
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Beacon Hill
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029171402
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Cattleman's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Skyline Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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