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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

Tract 48029181301 · Bexar, TX · pop 4,463 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 48029181301 covers part of the Elm Creek area of San Antonio, TX, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,463 residents. Cost burden runs 64% here against 48.2% across Bexar County.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 25% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,419
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$52,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Elm Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#175 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#187 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,721 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5480, -98.5597 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Creek scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,356 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Elm Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elm Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 1813013.8San Antonioparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 393Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2001)
  • 57Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48029181301
Filings climbed 33% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Creek

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.

Court records carry 393 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 4.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Bexar County average of 4.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,356, close to the San Antonio average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029181301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181301?

Census tract 48029181301 in the Elm Creek neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029181301?

Median gross rent is $1,356/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181301?

10.3% of residents in tract 48029181301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,463.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 91th, minority 78th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 48029181301 considered part of Elm Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181301 fall within Elm Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 393 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.07% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029181301 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029181301 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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