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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , San Antonio

Tract 48029191505 · Bexar, TX · pop 2,069 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48029191505 in the Elm Creek area of San Antonio, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,069. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units861
Renter share1.5%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$135,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Elm Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#296 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#303 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5528, -98.5480 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Creek scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Elm Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elm Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 1915053.8San Antonioparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 51Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 1.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2008)
  • 13Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48029191505
Filings climbed 550% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Creek

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Against the Bexar County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 51 filings here across 9 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 4.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029191505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029191505?

Census tract 48029191505 in the Elm Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029191505?

4.6% of residents in tract 48029191505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,069.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029191505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 60th, minority 61th, housing 4th.
Q4

Is tract 48029191505 considered part of Elm Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029191505 fall within Elm Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029191505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029191505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.86% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48029191505 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029191505 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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