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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , San Antonio

Tract 48029191505 · Bexar, TX · pop 2,069 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Elm Creek area of San Antonio anchors census tract 48029191505, which lands at 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 7% of US census tracts.

About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $135,313 a year. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units861
Renter share1.5%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$135,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Elm Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#301 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#328 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Very Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#5,145 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5528, -98.5480 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Creek scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Elm Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elm Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 191505San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 51Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 1.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2008)
  • 13Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291915052000: 2 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2001: 10 filings (3.60/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.62/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2007: 12 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2008: 13 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 550% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Creek

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Bexar County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 51 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 1.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2008.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029191505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029191505?

Census tract 48029191505 in the Elm Creek neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029191505?

4.6% of residents in tract 48029191505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,069.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029191505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 60th, minority 61th, housing 4th.
Q4

Is tract 48029191505 considered part of Elm Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029191505 fall within Elm Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029191505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029191505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.86% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48029191505 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029191505 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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