3 census tracts · pop 12,424 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10
· range 3–4.1
Elm Creek takes in 3 census tracts of San Antonio, TX and houses 12,424 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.9/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a San Antonio baseline of 32.0%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Average gross rent is $1,065, 20% below the San Antonio average of $1,324. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.5/10.
Filings are well documented here: 704 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 4.9% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 3/10.
Among the 88 mapped neighborhoods of San Antonio, it ranks #39 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Elm Creek vs San AntonioHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Elm Creek
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
704Total filings (sum)
2.41%Avg annual filing rate
4.9%Peak year (2008)
3.95%Latest filed (2008)
Frequently asked
About Elm Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elm Creek?
Elm Creek scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elm Creek compare to San Antonio overall?
Elm Creek scores 0.1 points higher than San Antonio overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,065 vs $1,324.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elm Creek?
Average gross rent in Elm Creek is $1,065/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elm Creek residents are renters?
59% of Elm Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 12,424 residents.
Q5
Is Elm Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Elm Creek sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Elm Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Elm Creek is census tract 48029181302 (score 4.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.1, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Elm Creek for landlords?
Elm Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Elm Creek?
Elm Creek has 12,227 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (40.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
