Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Churchill Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

Tract 48029191202 · Bexar, TX · pop 4,885 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 48029191202 reflects conditions in Churchill Heights in San Antonio, Texas. On the national scale it ranks #52,591 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,085 a month while the average household earns $61,230 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 30% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,409
Renter share60.3%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$61,230

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Churchill Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#212 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#214 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Moderate
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#3,094 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5327, -98.5076 · click any tract to drill in

Why Churchill Heights scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Churchill Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Churchill Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 191202San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 454Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 6.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak (2004)
  • 38Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291912022000: 36 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2001: 45 filings (5.76/100 renter HHs)2002: 62 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2003: 65 filings (8.32/100 renter HHs)2004: 98 filings (12.54/100 renter HHs)2005: 51 filings (6.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 29 filings (3.50/100 renter HHs)2007: 30 filings (3.62/100 renter HHs)2008: 38 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Churchill Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Churchill Heights

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bexar County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 454 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.5% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029191202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029191202?

Census tract 48029191202 in the Churchill Heights neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029191202?

Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029191202?

8.8% of residents in tract 48029191202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,885.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029191202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 41th, minority 77th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 48029191202 considered part of Churchill Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029191202 fall within Churchill Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029191202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 454 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029191202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.34% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029191202 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029191202 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related