Neighborhood · San Antonio, TX

Churchill Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 15,210 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.6–4.4

Churchill Heights is a hispanic-white neighborhood in San Antonio with 3 census tracts and a population of 15,210 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,249/month sits 6% lower than the San Antonio citywide average ($1,324).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Churchill Heights vs San Antonio How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.5% +48%

San Antonio: 32.0%

Average gross rent

$1,249 -6%

San Antonio: $1,324

Average HH income

$61,563 -2%

San Antonio: $62,917

Poverty rate

9.2% -46%

San Antonio: 17.1%

Renter share

63.5% +33%

San Antonio: 47.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Churchill Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.6–4.4

Why Churchill Heights scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

64% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

9.2% below poverty line · Range 1.8–2.6 across tracts

2.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–6.2 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Churchill Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Churchill Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.8 points from 3.6 to 4.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.4 4.1 3.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Churchill Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48029191409	4.4	7,284	54%	$1,177
48029191202	4.1	4,885	51%	$1,085
48029191201	3.6	3,041	28%	$1,684

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 68%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 50%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Churchill Heights

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,553Total filings (sum)
4.66%Avg annual filing rate
12.5%Peak year (2008)
4.84%Latest filed (2008)

Frequently asked

About Churchill Heights

What is the eviction-risk score for Churchill Heights?

Churchill Heights scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Churchill Heights compare to San Antonio overall?

Churchill Heights scores 1.3 points higher than San Antonio overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,249 vs $1,324.

What is the average rent in Churchill Heights?

Average gross rent in Churchill Heights is $1,249/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Churchill Heights residents are renters?

64% of Churchill Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 15,210 residents.

Is Churchill Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Churchill Heights sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Churchill Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Churchill Heights is census tract 48029191409 (score 4.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.4, a spread of 0.8 points.

How safe is Churchill Heights for landlords?

Churchill Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Churchill Heights?

Churchill Heights has 15,260 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (55.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Churchill Heights

5.1 Vista Del Norte 2 tracts · pop 10,759 4 Charter Oaks 3 tracts · pop 18,620 3.9 Elm Creek 3 tracts · pop 12,424 3.9 Oak Park 6 tracts · pop 26,019 5.5 Oak Hills 4 tracts · pop 15,882 5.3 South Texas Medical Center 7 tracts · pop 43,504

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Antonio

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Churchill Heights.

4.1 Middleton 5 tracts · pop 31,334 4 Liberty Village 2 tracts · pop 4,491 4 Westbury Place 1 tracts · pop 9,177 4 Iron Mountain Ranch 1 tracts · pop 5,697 4 Laurel Bend 2 tracts · pop 8,974 4.2 Elm Creek 3 tracts · pop 12,424

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