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Neighborhood · San Antonio, TX

Churchill Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 15,210 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3–4.1

Churchill Heights takes in 3 census tracts of San Antonio, TX, population 15,210. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. Against a San Antonio baseline of 32.0%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.3/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Filings are well documented here: 1,553 across 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 12.5% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 3/10. Among the 88 mapped neighborhoods of San Antonio, it ranks #44 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 3.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,249, close to the San Antonio average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Churchill Heights vs San Antonio How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.5% +48%
San Antonio: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,249 -6%
San Antonio: $1,324
Average HH income
$61,563 -2%
San Antonio: $62,917
Poverty rate
9.2% -46%
San Antonio: 17.1%
Renter share
63.5% +33%
San Antonio: 47.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Churchill Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–4.1

Why Churchill Heights scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
9.2% below poverty line · Range 1.8–2.6 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–6.2 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Churchill Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Churchill Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Churchill HeightsNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Churchill Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 3 to 4.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Churchill Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48029191409 4.1 7,284 54% $1,177
48029191202 3.6 4,885 51% $1,085
48029191201 3 3,041 28% $1,684
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Churchill Heights

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,553Total filings (sum)
  • 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak year (2008)
  • 4.84%Latest filed (2008)
Frequently asked

About Churchill Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Churchill Heights?

Churchill Heights scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Churchill Heights compare to San Antonio overall?

Churchill Heights scores 0.1 points lower than San Antonio overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,249 vs $1,324.
Q3

What is the average rent in Churchill Heights?

Average gross rent in Churchill Heights is $1,249/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Churchill Heights residents are renters?

64% of Churchill Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 15,210 residents.
Q5

Is Churchill Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Churchill Heights sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Churchill Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Churchill Heights is census tract 48029191409 (score 4.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.1, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Churchill Heights for landlords?

Churchill Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Churchill Heights?

Churchill Heights has 15,260 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (55.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Churchill Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Antonio

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Churchill Heights.

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