Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Churchill Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio
Tract 48029191409 · Bexar, TX · pop 7,284 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 48029191409 in the Churchill Heights area of San Antonio, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,284. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units3,480
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$51,111
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Antonio and the region
Centroid at 29.5431, -98.5209 · click any tract to drill in
Why Churchill Heights scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,177 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0
How Churchill Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,032Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2008)
- 169Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Churchill Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Churchill Heights
82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Against Bexar County at 48.2%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 1,032 evictions over 9 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,177, 11% below the San Antonio average. Filings peaked in 2008 at 6.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48029191409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029191409?
Census tract 48029191409 in the Churchill Heights neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48029191409?
Median gross rent is $1,177/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48029191409?
10.3% of residents in tract 48029191409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,284.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48029191409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 83th, minority 84th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 48029191409 considered part of Churchill Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029191409 fall within Churchill Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029191409?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,032 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029191409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.01% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48029191409 compare to San Antonio overall?
Tract 48029191409 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio
Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48029171501
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Vista Del Norte
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Five Points
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Sun Park Lane
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029160902
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Monticello Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Cattleman's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
South Texas Medical Center
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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