Pebble Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , College Station

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 193% over what the rest of College Station commands. The voucher gap is 190.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.3 points below the Brazos County average of 4.3.

The filing record is not thin: 3 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 0.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.