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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Southmost Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brownsville

Tract 48061013307 · Cameron, TX · pop 2,068 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 48061013307 in the Southmost area of Brownsville, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,068. Adults with no health insurance runs 48.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 24% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units603
Renter share57.2%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate33.2%
Median income$34,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Southmost
Elevated
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 60 tracts In Brownsville
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 121 tracts In Cameron
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brownsville and the region

Centroid at 25.8849, -97.4635 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southmost scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brownsville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.2% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$709 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brownsville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brownsville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brownsville
3.5

How Southmost compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southmost risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0133073.4Brownsvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 6.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2016)
  • 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48061013307
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southmost. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southmost

Cost burden runs 58% here against 42.8% across Cameron County. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 48.8% against 31.5% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.3/10. Average gross rent is $709, 23% below the Brownsville average.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 filings here across 3 tracked years.

It sits 0.7 points above the Cameron County average of 3.9. The worst year on record was 2016, when 10.2% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48061013307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48061013307?

Census tract 48061013307 in the Southmost neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48061013307?

Median gross rent is $709/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48061013307?

33.2% of residents in tract 48061013307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,068.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48061013307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 100th, minority 100th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 48061013307 considered part of Southmost?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48061013307 fall within Southmost (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48061013307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 48061013307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.02% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48061013307 compare to Brownsville overall?

Tract 48061013307 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Brownsville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brownsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brownsville

Top eight tracts in Brownsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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