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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Southmost Eviction Risk: Elevated , Brownsville

Tract 48061013902 · Cameron, TX · pop 4,215 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

For landlords sizing up the Southmost area of Brownsville, census tract 48061013902 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $600 a month while the average household earns $43,901 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 21% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share41.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate36.8%
Median income$43,901

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Southmost
Moderate
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 60 tracts In Brownsville
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 121 tracts In Cameron
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#166 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brownsville and the region

Centroid at 25.9026, -97.4750 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southmost scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brownsville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.8% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$600 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brownsville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brownsville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brownsville
3.5

How Southmost compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southmost risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 013902Brownsville: 3.03.0Brownsvilleparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 46Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480610139022015: 17 filings (4.14/100 renter HHs)2016: 20 filings (3.71/100 renter HHs)2018: 9 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southmost. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southmost

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brownsville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cameron County average of 4.5 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 46 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48061013902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48061013902?

Census tract 48061013902 in the Southmost neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48061013902?

Median gross rent is $600/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48061013902?

36.8% of residents in tract 48061013902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,215.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48061013902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 96th, minority 98th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 48061013902 considered part of Southmost?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48061013902 fall within Southmost (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48061013902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 46 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 48061013902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.17% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48061013902 compare to Brownsville overall?

Tract 48061013902 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Brownsville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brownsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brownsville

Top eight tracts in Brownsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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