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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Southmost Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brownsville

Tract 48061013902 · Cameron, TX · pop 4,215 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 48061013902 sits in the Southmost area of Brownsville eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 4,215 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 42.5% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 21% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share41.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate36.8%
Median income$43,901

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Southmost
Moderate
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 60 tracts In Brownsville
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 121 tracts In Cameron
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#1,972 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brownsville and the region

Centroid at 25.9026, -97.4750 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southmost scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brownsville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.8% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$600 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brownsville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brownsville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brownsville
3.5

How Southmost compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southmost risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0139023.4Brownsvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 46Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48061013902
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southmost. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southmost

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.2/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $600 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Brownsville commands. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 43.7% against 31.5% nationally.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cameron County average of 42.8%. The filing record is not thin: 46 evictions over 3 years of observation.

It sits 0.6 points above the Cameron County average of 3.9. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.7% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48061013902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48061013902?

Census tract 48061013902 in the Southmost neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48061013902?

Median gross rent is $600/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48061013902?

36.8% of residents in tract 48061013902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,215.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48061013902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 96th, minority 98th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 48061013902 considered part of Southmost?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48061013902 fall within Southmost (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48061013902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 46 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 48061013902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.17% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48061013902 compare to Brownsville overall?

Tract 48061013902 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Brownsville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brownsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brownsville

Top eight tracts in Brownsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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