Neighborhood · Brownsville, TX

Southmost Eviction Risk: Moderate

8 census tracts · pop 25,731 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.2–4.8

Southmost spans 8 census tracts of Brownsville, TX and houses 25,731 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 29.2% citywide, putting Southmost 24.5% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.4/10. Court records carry 282 eviction filings across its 8 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 10.2% of renter households. At $830 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Brownsville commands. The most recent observed rate, 1.7% in 2018, is well off that peak.

That places it #4 of 9 neighborhoods in Brownsville. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cielito Lindo Colonia and Riverside. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 8 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $36,881.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

8 tracts · population-weighted

Southmost vs Brownsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.7% +84%

Brownsville: 29.2%

Average gross rent

$830 -10%

Brownsville: $923

Average HH income

$36,881 -24%

Brownsville: $48,675

Poverty rate

36.1% +45%

Brownsville: 24.9%

Renter share

46.3% +21%

Brownsville: 38.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Southmost and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 4.2–4.8

Why Southmost scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

46% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

36.1% below poverty line · Range 6.4–10.0 across tracts

8.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–6.6 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

Southmost vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Southmost?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 4.2 to 4.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.8 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

8 tracts in Southmost

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48061014300	4.8	4,993	57%	$768
48061013901	4.8	2,270	62%	$821
48061013306	4.7	2,547	55%	$941
48061013307	4.6	2,068	58%	$709
48061013902	4.5	4,215	49%	$600
48061013903	4.3	3,918	67%	$1,101
48061013303	4.2	3,880	46%	$883
48061013402	4.2	1,840	27%	$833

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 92%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 60%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Southmost

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

282Total filings (sum)
3.39%Avg annual filing rate
10.2%Peak year (2016)
1.49%Latest filed (2018)

Frequently asked

About Southmost

What is the eviction-risk score for Southmost?

Southmost scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Southmost compare to Brownsville overall?

Southmost scores 1.1 points higher than Brownsville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $830 vs $923.

What is the average rent in Southmost?

Average gross rent in Southmost is $830/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Southmost residents are renters?

46% of Southmost households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Brownsville). The neighborhood has 25,731 residents.

Is Southmost a high social-vulnerability area?

Southmost sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Southmost have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Southmost is census tract 48061014300 (score 4.8/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.8, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Southmost for landlords?

Southmost carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brownsville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Southmost?

Southmost has 25,562 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (97.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (1.7%), Other / Multiracial (0.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Southmost

4.2 Los Cuates South Colonia 3 tracts · pop 10,940 3.9 Kellers Corner Colonia 2 tracts · pop 2,524 3.6 Los Ebanos 6 tracts · pop 19,089 4.5 Riverside 4 tracts · pop 11,193 3.1 Treasure Hills 2 tracts · pop 6,365 4.9 Fountain View Village 4 tracts · pop 14,054

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brownsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Southmost.

4.5 Kellers Corner Colonia 2 tracts · pop 2,524 4.5 Riverside 4 tracts · pop 11,193 4.5 Cielito Lindo Colonia 1 tracts · pop 4,386 4.4 Valle Hermosa Colonia 1 tracts · pop 2,514 4.7 Jaime Lake Colonia 1 tracts · pop 3,945 4.2 Los Cuates South Colonia 3 tracts · pop 10,940

Zoom out