Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Rio Central at Mystic Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Canyon Lake

Tract 48091310609 · Comal, TX · pop 4,065 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

48091310609 is a census tract in the Rio Central at Mystic Shores area of Canyon Lake, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 7% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,923

Renter share15.2%

SVI overall0.40

Poverty rate1.8%

Median income$100,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Lake and the region

Centroid at 29.9124, -98.3098 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

1.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,358 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Canyon Lake

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Canyon Lake

6.5

How Rio Central at Mystic Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rio Central at Mystic Shores

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10.

about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Comal County average of 42.4%. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 0.8 points below the Comal County average of 3.8.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10.

Against average income of $100,708, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,358, close to the Canyon Lake average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48091310609

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48091310609?

Census tract 48091310609 in the Rio Central at Mystic Shores neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48091310609?

Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48091310609?

1.8% of residents in tract 48091310609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,065.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48091310609?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 34th, minority 43th, housing 29th.

Is tract 48091310609 considered part of Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48091310609 fall within Rio Central at Mystic Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48091310609 compare to Canyon Lake overall?

Tract 48091310609 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Canyon Lake at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canyon Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Canyon Lake

Top eight tracts in Canyon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.