Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Rio Central at Mystic Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Canyon Lake

Tract 48091310609 · Comal, TX · pop 4,065 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Rio Central at Mystic Shores neighborhood of Canyon Lake is where census tract 48091310609 sits, home to 4,065 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.9/10. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,358 monthly, set against $100,708 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 7% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,923

Renter share15.2%

SVI overall0.40

Poverty rate1.8%

Median income$100,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Lake and the region

Centroid at 29.9124, -98.3098 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

1.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,358 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Canyon Lake

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Canyon Lake

6.5

How Rio Central at Mystic Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rio Central at Mystic Shores

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Canyon Lake, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Comal County average of 4.4 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48091310609

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48091310609?

Census tract 48091310609 in the Rio Central at Mystic Shores neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48091310609?

Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48091310609?

1.8% of residents in tract 48091310609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,065.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48091310609?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 34th, minority 43th, housing 29th.

Is tract 48091310609 considered part of Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48091310609 fall within Rio Central at Mystic Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48091310609 compare to Canyon Lake overall?

Tract 48091310609 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Canyon Lake at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canyon Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Canyon Lake

Top eight tracts in Canyon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.