Neighborhood · Canyon Lake, TX

Rio Central at Mystic Shores Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,065 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.7/10 · range 1.7–1.7

Rio Central at Mystic Shores is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Canyon Lake with 1 census tract and a population of 4,065 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,358/month sits 2% higher than the Canyon Lake citywide average ($1,327).

Risk score

1.7

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Rio Central at Mystic Shores vs Canyon Lake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.2% +45%

Canyon Lake: 35.3%

Average gross rent

$1,358 +2%

Canyon Lake: $1,327

Average HH income

$100,708 +8%

Canyon Lake: $93,114

Poverty rate

1.8% -76%

Canyon Lake: 7.4%

Renter share

15.2% +18%

Canyon Lake: 12.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rio Central at Mystic Shores and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.7–1.7

Why Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 1.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts

1.1

Tenant organizing strength

15% renter households · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Risk score comparison

Rio Central at Mystic Shores vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Rio Central at Mystic Shores

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48091310609	1.7	4,065	51%	$1,358

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 34%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Rio Central at Mystic Shores

What is the eviction-risk score for Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Rio Central at Mystic Shores compare to Canyon Lake overall?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 0.6 points lower than Canyon Lake overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,358 vs $1,327.

What is the average rent in Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Average gross rent in Rio Central at Mystic Shores is $1,358/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Rio Central at Mystic Shores residents are renters?

15% of Rio Central at Mystic Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Canyon Lake). The neighborhood has 4,065 residents.

Is Rio Central at Mystic Shores a high social-vulnerability area?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Rio Central at Mystic Shores for landlords?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Canyon Lake as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores has 4,458 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.1%), Hispanic / Latino (16.5%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rio Central at Mystic Shores

2.8 Starlight Terrace 1 2 tracts · pop 8,454 2.7 Downtown Historic District 3 tracts · pop 11,572

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