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Neighborhood · Canyon Lake, TX

Rio Central at Mystic Shores Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,065 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Rio Central at Mystic Shores maps to a single census tract in Canyon Lake, TX and houses 4,065 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Canyon Lake rate of 35.3%.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.1/10. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,358, close to the Canyon Lake average.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rio Central at Mystic Shores vs Canyon Lake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.2% +45%
Canyon Lake: 35.3%
Average gross rent
$1,358 +2%
Canyon Lake: $1,327
Average HH income
$100,708 +8%
Canyon Lake: $93,114
Poverty rate
1.8% -76%
Canyon Lake: 7.4%
Renter share
15.2% +18%
Canyon Lake: 12.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rio Central at Mystic Shores and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Rio Central at Mystic Shores vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rio Central at Mystic Shores score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Rio Central at MysNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rio Central at Mystic Shores

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48091310609 3 4,065 51% $1,358
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Rio Central at Mystic Shores

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rio Central at Mystic Shores compare to Canyon Lake overall?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores scores 0.2 points lower than Canyon Lake overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,358 vs $1,327.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Average gross rent in Rio Central at Mystic Shores is $1,358/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rio Central at Mystic Shores residents are renters?

15% of Rio Central at Mystic Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Canyon Lake). The neighborhood has 4,065 residents.
Q5

Is Rio Central at Mystic Shores a high social-vulnerability area?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rio Central at Mystic Shores for landlords?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Canyon Lake as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rio Central at Mystic Shores?

Rio Central at Mystic Shores has 4,458 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.1%), Hispanic / Latino (16.5%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rio Central at Mystic Shores

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