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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Canyon Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48091310611 · Comal, TX · pop 4,180 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Canyon Lake

48091310611 is a census tract in Canyon Lake, TX. It scores 4/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,180 residents. 95% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 0% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,517
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$94,046

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Canyon Lake
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 33 tracts In Comal
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,721 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Lake and the region

Centroid at 29.8951, -98.1776 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canyon Lake scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Canyon Lake
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Canyon Lake
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Canyon Lake
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Canyon Lake
6.5

How Canyon Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Canyon Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 3106113.2Canyon Lakeparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canyon Lake

Against Comal County at 42.4%, 95% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $94,046, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Comal County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,401, close to the Canyon Lake average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48091310611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48091310611?

Census tract 48091310611 in Canyon Lake scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48091310611?

Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 95% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48091310611?

12.6% of residents in tract 48091310611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,180.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48091310611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 90th, minority 48th, housing 41th.
Q5

How does tract 48091310611 compare to Canyon Lake overall?

Tract 48091310611 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Canyon Lake at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canyon Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Canyon Lake

Top eight tracts in Canyon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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