Tract 48121021416 ·
Denton, TX · pop 4,632 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 48121021416 covers part of the Terrace Oaks Phase 1 area of Denton, TX, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,632 residents. Average gross rent is $2,421, 70% above the Denton average.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 8%Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,284
Renter share11.8%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$101,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Terrace Oaks Phase 1
Very High
Within parent city
36th percentile
#22 of 34 tracts In Corinth
Low
Within county
79th percentile
#42 of 193 tracts In Denton
High
Within state
77th percentile
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Corinth and the region
Centroid at 33.1455, -97.1004 · click any tract to drill in
Why Terrace Oaks Phase 1 scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Corinth
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$2,421 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Corinth
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Corinth
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Corinth
3.5
How Terrace Oaks Phase 1 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
54%Socioeconomic
23%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
93Total filings 2020-21
1.2Avg monthly (observed)
1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Terrace Oaks Phase 1. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Against Denton County at 45.5%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 28.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
It sits 0.9 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021416
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021416?
Census tract 48121021416 in the Terrace Oaks Phase 1 neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021416?
Median gross rent is $2,421/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021416?
14.8% of residents in tract 48121021416 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,632.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021416?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 23th, minority 65th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021416 considered part of Terrace Oaks Phase 1?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021416 fall within Terrace Oaks Phase 1 (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021416 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021416 compare to Corinth overall?
Tract 48121021416 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Corinth at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Corinth; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Corinth
Top eight tracts in Corinth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.