Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $31,765, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The filing record is not thin: 1,480 evictions over 13 years of observation. At $1,242 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Denton commands.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 15.8% of renter households.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.