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Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Carrollton Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48121021630 · Denton, TX · pop 5,494 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Carrollton

For landlords sizing up Carrollton, census tract 48121021630 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #65,692 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,704 a month against an average household income of $107,783 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 22% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,848
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$107,783

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 30 tracts In Carrollton
Elevated
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 193 tracts In Denton
Elevated
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#6,016 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very Low
National
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#73,892 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrollton and the region

Centroid at 33.0215, -96.9080 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrollton scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,704 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
2.5

How Carrollton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrollton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 021630Carrollton: 2.32.3Carrolltonparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,140Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 17.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.2%Peak (2007)
  • 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210216302001: 42 filings (10.91/100 renter HHs)2002: 58 filings (15.07/100 renter HHs)2003: 67 filings (17.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 91 filings (23.65/100 renter HHs)2005: 117 filings (31.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 92 filings (25.06/100 renter HHs)2007: 133 filings (36.23/100 renter HHs)2010: 108 filings (15.21/100 renter HHs)2011: 91 filings (11.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 76 filings (9.88/100 renter HHs)2013: 82 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2015: 84 filings (10.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 99 filings (12.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 136% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 335Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (0.91× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2020-03-01: 5 filings (0.65× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (0.30× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (0.39× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.39× baseline)2021-04-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 11 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-02-01: 9 filings (0.88× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-04-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-06-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-08-01: 9 filings (0.82× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (0.68× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (0.42× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-12-01: 9 filings (0.90× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (0.69× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (0.39× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (0.52× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (0.51× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (0.59× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.34× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 7 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (0.30× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.34× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (0.52× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (0.93× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (0.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrollton

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Denton County average of 5.0 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,140 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 17.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.2% of renter households in 2007.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021630

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021630?

Census tract 48121021630 in Carrollton scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121021630?

Median gross rent is $1,704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021630?

9.2% of residents in tract 48121021630 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,494.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021630?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 27th, minority 73th, housing 16th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021630?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,140 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021630 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.77% of renter households, peaking at 36.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021630 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121021630 compare to Carrollton overall?

Tract 48121021630 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollton at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton

Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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