Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021613 · Denton, TX · pop 6,023
Tract 48121021613 sits in Carrollton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 6,023. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,084
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$73,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollton and the region
Centroid at 33.0051, -96.8924 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollton scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,621 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
2.5
How Carrollton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,202Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.2%Peak (2015)
- 146Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 240% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 601Total filings 2020-21
- 7.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollton
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Against Denton County at 45.5%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 1,202 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 11.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021613
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021613?
Census tract 48121021613 in Carrollton scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021613?
Median gross rent is $1,621/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021613?
6.2% of residents in tract 48121021613 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,023.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021613?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 71th, minority 85th, housing 54th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021613?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,202 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021613 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.80% of renter households, peaking at 11.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021613 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021613 compare to Carrollton overall?
Tract 48121021613 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Carrollton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton
Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48113013717
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021646
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021630
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Addison Circle
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021615
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48113013718
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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